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Saturday, December 03, 2005

NBA Trak, 12/2

Yesterday's scores (w/ prediction)
Hornets 88, 76ers 86 (Hornets by 1)
T-wolves 113, Lakers 108 (T-wolves by 2)
Warriors 107, Bobcats 100 (Bobcats by 3)
Suns 102, Nuggets 97 (Nuggets by 4)
Bulls 106, Celtics 102 (Celtics by 8)
Raptors 102, Hawks 101 (Hawks by 11)
Pistons 106, Knicks 98 (Pistons by 5)
SuperSonics 115, Cavaliers 108 (Cavaliers by 10)
Bucks 105, Bucks 102 (Wizards by 15)
Heat 98, Kings 87 (Kings by 13)
Pacers 98, Trail Blazers 78 (TrailBlazers by 5)
Grizzlies 91, Magic 69 (Magic by 4)

* Yeesh. Either there were a spate of unexpected results last night or my system is full of holes. Actually, it's a little of both. Six road teams won last night. The surprise of the evening was probably the Sonics over the Cavaliers. Cleveland still has a severe case of yips on the road - no team's performance degraded more in road contests than did the Cavs last season.

With an improved roster and a maturing superstar, Cleveland was supposed to take the next step. Actually, that's not precisely true. The LeBron Cavs have never made the playoffs, so the next step would be just to get into the postseason. But Cleveland is supposed to skip that intial milestone and jump right into the top 4-5 teams in the East.

At home, where Cleveland has outscored its opponents by nearly 16 points per game, they certainly seem to have made The Leap. But they are going to have to start beating inferior teams on the road if they truly want to be considered a threat come May and June.

As for the horrific Trak results, well I told you it was a work-in-progress. I made some tweaks, toning down the homecourt factor and putting more weight towards overall season performance as opposed to the trend factor. We'll see how it works out.

PLAYER RATINGS

No.

Season top 25

TPR

No.

Daily top ten

TPR

1

camby,marcus

14.07

1

camby,marcus

45.31

2

garnett,kevin

13.75

2

williams,maurice

42.65

3

duncan,tim

13.58

3

johnson,joe

38.70

4

brand,elton

12.51

4

villanueva,charlie

37.56

5

marion,shawn

10.32

5

pierce,paul

37.31

6

pierce,paul

10.24

6

deng,luol

31.98

7

james,lebron

9.48

7

garnett,kevin

31.50

8

o'neal,jermaine

9.46

8

james,lebron

31.35

9

wade,dwyane

9.19

9

arenas,gilbert

31.14

10

nowitzki,dirk

8.17

10

bryant,kobe

31.04

11

iverson,allen

7.99

BOTTOM TEN

12

nash,steve

7.27

1

williams,marvin

-18.43

13

gasol,pau

7.10

2

hayes,jarvis

-17.67

14

ming,yao

6.83

3

reed,justin

-12.58

15

howard,dwight

6.78

4

bynum,andrew

-10.04

16

gooden,drew

6.12

5

vujacic,sasha

-8.57

17

mourning,alonzo

5.57

6

garrity,pat

-8.54

18

billups,chauncey

5.55

7

mccants,rashad

-7.44

19

parker,tony

5.53

8

dixon,juan

-6.84

20

wallace,gerald

5.51

9

jones,eddie

-6.62

21

jamison,antawn

5.45

10

james,mike

-6.19

22

maggette,corey

5.44

23

jefferson,richar

5.35

24

diaw,boris

5.28

25

wallace,ben

5.13

BOTTOM TEN

1

rose,jalen

-5.69

2

daniels,antonio

-5.67

3

peterson,morris

-4.72

4

ross,quinton

-4.64

5

wesley,david

-4.37

6

mason,desmond

-4.37

7

korver,kyle

-4.18

8

hassell,trenton

-4.04

9

simmons,bobby

-3.90

10

graham,joey

-3.88



* HUGE night for Marcus Camby but it wasn't enough as his Denver teammates fell flat and the Nuggets blew a golden opportunity to beat the Suns in Phoenix. Denver continues to grade out as a top ten team but underachives. Last night, Carmelo Anthony returned to the lineup. He put up only a 12 EFF in 27 minutes. Kenyon Martin also put up a 12 EFF but it took him 37 minutes to do it.

The Nuggets' bench combined for 4 EFF. Four. That included a 0 from Earl Boykins in 27 minutes. Still, Denver only lost by five on the road to the team that still sits atop the POWER rankings. Why?

Camby: 51 EFF in 41 minutes (33 points, 20 rebounds, 2 assists, 3 steals, 3 blocks). The performance was enough to allow Camby to leap back into the top spot overall in the player rankings. The Nuggets are only 8-9 but if they can start playing up to their peripheals and if Camby can stay healthy, I still maintain that Camby can get some serious MVP support.

VIEWER'S GUIDE

ClevelandCavaliers

LAClippers

9:30_p.m.

22

LAClippers

by

4

MiamiHeat

DenverNuggets

8_p.m.

20

DenverNuggets

by

3

Philadelphia76ers

SanAntonioSpurs

7:30_p.m.

18

SanAntonioSpurs

by

8

DetroitPistons

ChicagoBulls

7:30_p.m._(NBATV)

10

DetroitPistons

by

3

NOrleansHornets

DallasMavericks

7:30_p.m.

6

DallasMavericks

by

6

MemphisGrizzlies

HoustonRockets

7:30_p.m.

(4)

HoustonRockets

by

2

OrlandoMagic

MilwaukeeBucks

7:30_p.m.

(12)

OrlandoMagic

by

4

TorontoRaptors

NJNets

7_p.m.

(28)

NJNets

by

11


* Tonight's predictions seem to make pretty good sense. We'll see. The surprise is Orlando over the Bucks in Milwaukee. The system doesn't account for Steve Francis' absence. He'll be out for awhile. Without Francis and Grant Hill, Orlando had no one who can create their own shots. Thus, you end up with 69-point stinkbombs such as their performance last night. Look for Milwaukee to cruise.

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